Saturday, December 6, 2008

Sharp Pains In Belly Button

Der zündende Funke

Since the last report of 26 October, the SMI has written in November 5034 with a new low. Since then it commutes volatile and sideways, without reaching new highs or lows.

The daily macro data are not exactly edifying. Technically, I find it but it points out that sales are getting thinner and be written to even the lousy numbers from the economic front, no more new lows. Is thus reached the low point and priced in the worst numbers? At least for a time as possible, which needs due to the highly oversold markets and the almost boundless pessimism are only a small spark to ignite the explosive mixture, which would make for a very strong Rallie of 10-20%.

Today is the start of the winter sports season auf der Heide und somit sind meine Aktivitäten vorwiegend auf dieser Seite. Eine schöne Vorweihnachtszeit.

Grüsse Oekonom

macht was draus, aber machets guet...


Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Poem Request Money For Birthday

Underground lakes have ice shelves melt faster

°
Rising sea levels, storm surges, tsunamis - because climate change threatens the Maldives, the future president of the island nation seeks a new home for his countrymen. For the move is only a little time.

Paris (AFP) - Underground water masses accelerate the melting of ice caused by global warming in the Antarctic and in Greenland, and hence the rise of the oceans. The melt of the Byrd Glacier in Antarctica increased between December 2005 and February 2007 compared to the average of the previous decade by ten percent, as U.S. researchers found, according to a study in the scientific journal "Nature Geoscience". The acceleration have begun when two underground lakes, about 200 kilometers above the glacier about 1.7 cubic kilometers of water will have expired. This

have caused an underground flood, the head of the research team, said Leigh Stearns of the University of Maine, on Sunday in the online published study. For their measurements, the researchers used surveys of the 2003 NASA ICESat satellite launched, followed among others, the development of the ice shelves.

It was under the ice shelves discovered a network of waterways that flow into the regular large amounts of water from underground lake. "The water acts as a lubricant - it reduces the friction an der Oberfläche und beschleunigt so das Abschmelzen von Eis", erläuterte Helen Fricker vom Ozeanographischen Institut Scripps in La Jolla im US-Bundesstaat Kalifornien.

Die Geschwindigkeit der Eisschmelze in der Antarktis und in Grönland, die vor allem auf die Erderwärmung zurückgeführt wird, wirkt sich direkt auf den Anstieg der Ozeane aus. Derzeit steigt der Wasserpegel jährlich um etwa drei Millimeter, was die Bevölkerung zahlreicher kleinerer Inseln gefährdet.

Die UN-Expertengruppe für Klimaforschung (IPCC) hatte vergangenes Jahr vor einem Anstieg der Ozeane um 18 bis 59 Zentimeter bis zum Jahr 2050 gewarnt. Diese Prognose beruht aber nur auf der Ausdehnung der Wassermengen aufgrund der Erwärmung. Die Auswirkungen unterirdischer Überschwemmungen, die das Tempo noch beschleunigen könnten, wurden dabei nicht berücksichtigt.


Copyright © 2008 AFP

°°°


Gletscherschmelze Mai 2001 bis Mai 2006 - Foto: NASA

°°°

S'attaquer au problème de la fonte de glace au Groenland: 



Geophysical Research Letters 

http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/




GRACE


http://www.csr.utexas.edu/grace/


Université de technologie de Delft

http://home.tudelft.nl/en/

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Chow Mein Takeaway Calories

WWF calls for "drastic rethinking" in the nature

°
Berlin (dpa) - After the dramatic results of the WWF report, the State of the World Environment Foundation and Population Policy both called for increased environmental protection: "We need a dramatic rethinking of environmental policy but also in the everyday actions of every individual".

The WWF conservation director Christoph Heinrich said on Wednesday. "Everyone can do something for conservation, without loss of enjoyment of life." It was important that industry, buildings and vehicles more energy efficient were designed. Furthermore, the energy production in the years to be converted to renewable energy.

The "Living Planet Report 2008" the conservation organization World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) describes the exploitation of the earth. was compared with the previous study in 2006, the situation worsened again dramatically, it says. If the consumption of natural resources continues to rise as before, will be according to the experts already in 2035 constructed two planets are needed to meet global needs for food, energy and space. The report of 2006, it still calculates a period up to 2050.
Even private households can, according to Henry much to protect the earth to do - such as energy saving lamps, well-insulated houses, hybrid cars and less air travel. "There is no freeze, we will continue to have high living standards," said the expert. "But we must all use natural resources more wisely."

addition, each house with modern heating and ventilation systems are equipped to reduce energy consumption, "Henry said. could target would be so-called passive-energy houses without gas, oil or wood heating get along and even in the winter resort to solar energy. is "In Germany, there already thousands of these houses, but we want that are built from 2020 all new buildings on this principle. "

is also important that thoughtful action on sustainability of the factories. She must soon make do with less energy and reduce their waste, "said WWF expert. Germany in international rankings although there quite well, but countries like Japan are more in this area yet.

WWF - Report in German

© sueddeutsche.de - published on 29.10.2008 at 14:30 warns clock

How Can You Get The Morning Afterin Ontario

ecological crisis much harder than financial crisis

°
WWF global environmental crisis before
°
to the global depletion the world according WWF is always dramatic. The it follows from the "Living Planet Report 2008" of the Environment Foundation, which was presented today in Berlin. was compared with the previous study in 2006, the situation worsened again dramatically, it says.

resources are consumed faster. "We use our existing facilities exceed one-third," warned the conservation director of the Worldwide Fund for Nature, Christoph Heinrich. If the consumption of natural resources to go further, already in 2035 would in theory need two planets to meet global needs for food, energy and space. The report of 2006, it still calculates a period up to 2050. The WWF therefore calls for urgent global action packages for sustainability.

biodiversity continues to shrink

The biodiversity is shrinking, according to WWF, further threatening: The Living Planet Index measures the stocks of nearly 1,700 vertebrate species around the world - he has deteriorated in the past 35 years, almost a third. While the decline has found some places in the temperate zones to an end, the entire index also shows a rapid decline. "The ecological crisis will hit us harder by a multiple than the current financial crisis and eventually threaten the welfare and development of all nations," said Heinrich. Responsible dafür seien neben dem stark steigenden Ressourcenverbrauch vor allem die weltweite Abholzung, Klimawandel, Umweltverschmutzung und Überfischung.

Deutschland ist ein "ökologischer Schuldner"

Mehr als drei Viertel der Menschheit lebten mittlerweile in Ländern, die "ökologische Schuldner" seien - das heißt, der nationale Konsum übersteige die Biokapazität des Landes, warnte James P. Leape, Generaldirektor von WWF International. Deutschland steht bei diesem "ökologischen Fußabdruck" im internationalen Vergleich auf Rang 30. Damit liegt es hinter Großbritannien, Frankreich und Österreich, aber deutlich über dem globalen Mittelwert. Deutschland gehört laut WWF somit zu den 50 "ökologischen Schuldnern" auf der Welt. Den größten "Fußabdruck" haben die USA und China. Der ökologische Fußabdruck ist eine komplexe Messgröße für die Inanspruchnahme von Ökosystemen und Arten.

°°°
Die Erde in Not



°°°

Bis 2020 müsse vor allem im Energiesektor eine Trendwende eingeleitet sein, denn die Energieproduktion durch die Verbrennung von Öl, Kohle und Erdgas habe 2005 fast 45 Prozent des weltweiten ökologischen Fußabdrucks ausgemacht, erläuterte der WWF. Durch den Ausbau erneuerbarer Energien, more energy efficiency in industry, buildings and transport, and the gradual emission reduction of fossil fuels with more carbon dioxide capture and - storage is however possible by 2050 to meet global energy demand and reduce both CO2 emissions by 60 to 80 percent means that the WWF Climate Solutions Model.

tagesschau.de
ARD
10/29/2008


WWF Living Planet Report 2008 [PDF]

Whats Good To Get Rid Of Phlem

methane content of air increases concern

°
geophysicists measure in 2007, a sharp increase of the greenhouse gas methane in the atmosphere. This could accelerate climate change.

The amount of the greenhouse gas Methane in the atmosphere rose significantly in 2007. According to a study by geophysicists from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). It is based on data from air samples collected a global network of monitoring stations of the U.S. space agency NASA from 1997 to April 2008. Thus, the study authors, end a decade in which the concentration of the substance remained relatively stable. The sharp increase could accelerate global warming in the future.

By 1800, that is in pre-industrial times, the amount of methane was 700 parts per billion air particles (abbreviated ppb in English "parts per billion). Since then it has more than doubled. Between 1999 and 2006, the global average ppb 1773rd "Our measurements show that the concentration in the last year leapt by ten ppb to 1783 ppb," said study lead author Matt Rigby.

acts as a greenhouse gas methane 25 times stronger than carbon dioxide (CO2). Therefore, it is responsible for 20 percent of the previously measured and expected future global warming, although its concentration in the air by about a factor of less 4600 than that of CO2, the attribute that climatologists accounts for 60 percent of human-induced greenhouse effect. The colorless and odorless gas is produced in swamps, rice fields and in the digestive tract of cattle, but also in large quantities from coal mines and in Natural gas production released.

the other hand, it is of specific molecules - so-called hydroxyl radicals - are destroyed. They serve as a kind of detergent that cleans the atmosphere of pollutants. Once the atmospheric concentration of methane had remained constant as long, the researchers believed, between emissions and the reduction of methane had set a balance. The new measurements show that this balance is disturbed since the spring of 2007. This became more frequent in the aftermath of several million tons of additional methane in the atmosphere. "This is worrying because the stable level of half of the methane, the strong growth in CO2 emissions to compensate at least in part, "says Drew Shindell of the climatology of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies at NASA in New York. "The amount of methane continues to rise so much is this compensation effect is lost."

methane concentration increases everywhere

To the surprise of researchers found out that the methane concentration increased simultaneously in both hemispheres of the globe. Here, the main sources of gas are in the northern hemisphere. It usually takes about a year to have mixed by global air currents there with the Emissions of air so that a global mean adjusted. In the northern hemisphere, probably Swamps and wetlands in Siberia, the largest issuer. There was the unusually high temperatures in the past year, the activity of methane-producing bacteria considerably.

fits into this picture also an observation that scientists have made a Swedish-Russian expedition in mid-September on board the Jacob Smirnitskyi. The research ship sailed under the International Siberian Shelf Study 2008 "on the north coast of Russia along. Heading the sea seemed to boil over again, burst on the surface bubbles. Seismic and sonar measurements revealed that the gas in regular vents flowed upward - was apparently seine Freisetzung in der Tiefe recht schnell und ungezügelt.

Wo Methan aus dem Meeresboden blubbert

Bald hatte die Forschergruppe herausgefunden, was da in großen Mengen emporblubberte. Es war der Klimakiller Methan. In den nördlichen Schelfgebieten liegt er eigentlich als sogenanntes Gashydrat vor. Dieses Eis-Methan-Gemisch lagerte bislang sicher am Meeresgrund. Allein auf dem sibirischen Kontinentalschelf könnte es Vorkommen von 540 Milliarden Tonnen geben. Das Problem ist, dass der dauerhaft gefrorene Ozeanboden wegen der Erderwärmung aufzutauen droht. Dann wird das Hydrat instabil und zersetzt sich, dabei wird das Methan frei.





Apparently, this process has already begun. This is indicated not only the observations of the polar researchers on board the Jacob Smirnitskyi "out at several locations in the Laptev Sea - including a sea area near the Lena estuary - as well as in parts of the East Siberian Sea massively increased gas concentrations in water and air masses . Already in 2007 an international team of researchers had reported that North Siberian lakes emit 3.8 million tonnes of methane per year. This would increase to date in six to 40 million tons of estimated emissions from Arctic wetlands at ten to 63 percent.

If all stored in the Arctic methane into the air may, after Calculations Russian researcher twelvefold its concentration in the atmosphere. This would give a strong boost to global warming, which further methane from the Arctic Ocean could be free. A vicious circle arises, climatologists call it a "positive feedback". The decomposition of methane hydrates in the permafrost them is considered a so-called tipping points of 15, which could identify them before. Exceed the associated greenhouse processes these items could fall over the earth's climate.

atmosphere out of balance

go so far as the fears of the MIT researchers, however, not yet. Because of the fact that on der Nordhalbkugel der Erde eine mächtige Methanquelle zu geben scheint, auf der Südhalbkugel jedoch nicht, lenkte ihren Verdacht in eine andere Richtung: Möglicherweise nahm in der Atmosphäre die Menge des Waschmittels Hydroxyl ab, das Methan und andere Schadstoffe unschädlich macht, In diesem Fall wären, wie Modellrechnungen zeigen, die gemessenen Konzentrationen des Gases fast ganz ohne neue Emissionen zustande gekommen.

Auch sollte es auf der Nordhalbkugel in größeren Mengen vorliegen, weil sich dort durch Reaktionen mit anderen Luftschadstoffen mehr Hydroxyl verzehrt als im Süden. Folglich können die Methanmoleküle in der Nordhemisphäre länger in der Luft überleben. Zumindest teilweise, Sun geophysicist Rigby leave, the observed uneven distribution explained in that way.

do next step to find Rigby and his colleagues are now final, what could increase the concentration of methane in the atmosphere so much. "It could be a superposition of both effects," he says. Only then will we know whether it was a short-term anomaly or a permanent increase. Then I could also assess the danger to the climate through the gas threatens really
(Note, the blog-editor "The challenge for all - WWF Report: melts the ice,
then breaks off the Gulf Stream and then comes the next ice age).


From FOCUS editor Michael Odenwald

Photos: Marum University of Bremen / ddp, nasa
Copyright © 2008 by FOCUS Online GmbH

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Why To Go Sr For Domperidone

Wie weiter?

Am 1. März dieses Jahres erwähnte ich in dieser Rubrik unter dem Titel " Enormes Downpotential voraus " eine Zielzone im SMI von 5800.

Vorläufig sind es mathematische Spielereien, aber approx. 5800 im SMI ist ein mögliches Korrekturziel aus Basis der Longterm-Indikatoren. Das heisst nun aber keinesfalls, dass es ab Montag in diese Richtung crashes. Rather, it is done in cycles interrupted by positive interim fixes, but in a down trend übergeordeten.

the 5800 have now been achieved and in a first sell-off exceeded even down. What's Next? Looking at the LT-indicators, it does not continue to look bright. It has yet to complete some space around the current bear market structure, namely current minus ~ 1700 points from present (5675), where would we be reached at 4000 points in the SMI.

And how should they be reached 4000, but after everything is already massively in the basement? The 4000 zone is reached due to the composition of the SMI with heavyweight (defensive) Titles not even that hard. If one looks at only the charts of the Big Three SMI-values we see that this is still a considerable correction potential (NESN ~ 35/30, ~ 45 and NOVN ROG ~ 120) have. Do not you think? I only remember ABB, a darling that was dropped suddenly, and in which even at 12 francs does not end there must be (~ 7.50). Just remember that you alone in the three values can still secure some profit potential, if one is Committed for some time. And to keep cash at this time not all that bad. So why not here yet to take profits while you still can, especially as defensive stocks in a bull market no later zu den ersten Gewinnern zählen werden.

Und wann soll denn das Szenario stattfinden? Lassen Sie sich doch Zeit. Es gibt in dem Abwärtstrend immer wieder wie bislang Erholungen, die auch sehr stark ausfallen können (hohe Vola). Aber solange sich nicht weltweit grundlegendes ändert, was zur bisherigen Baisse führten, entsteht kein neues Vertrauen in einen neuen Aufschwung und solange wird dieser Downtrend weiterlaufen. Ob es dann die 4000 sind oder es auch etwas weniger hart kommt - wie auch immer seien Sie auf der Hut und agieren Sie vorsichtig!

Grüsse Oekonom

macht was draus, aber machets guet...


Sunday, October 19, 2008

This Morning Holly Willoughby's Birthday Cake

Weiter höchst fragil

The SMI 5800 were achieved and even exceeded and it is expected that at least the 5200 zone is under way again in order to train all if a workable soil. If this is not, then are the approx. SMI 3700-4000 of 2003 for discussion. Since June 2007, the SMI is in decline and so all the rallies, especially if they are shorted run with 8-10% daily profits.

fundamentals, there is currently nothing that suggests strongly rising prices. Although many a recession (yet) do not admit, it is with a global slowdown and that will be expected in the corporate profits . Reflected Due to the extremely high volatility can currently pick up very good short-term gains, but it is also linked very much risk it, because it can on the next following day of a received short term Go commitment with a CAP number of percentages in the other (wrong) direction.

except in some individual cases, I consider myself completely out of there and continue to dedicate myself to the dollar - this way since the spring of 2008 was very successful by me - all the doomsayers - sat long in March at USD ...

greetings economist

makes something out of it, but maketh guet ...

Sunday, September 21, 2008

Scottish Nickname For Alexander

The challenge of our generation - Al Gore

.
Ladies and gentlemen.

There are times in our country's history, in which our lives depend on whether we break down illusions and realize a present danger. In such moments we are forced to act quickly and boldly to shake off indifference and old habits and us with open eyes and alert to face the need for radical change. The people who refuse for any reason whatsoever to ihren Teil dazu beizutragen, müssen entweder überzeugt werden, mitzuarbeiten oder aber beiseite zu treten. An einem solchen Punkt stehen wir jetzt. Das Überleben der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika, wie wir sie kennen, ist gefährdet.

Und wenn es noch weiterer Gründe bedarf, die Zukunft der zivilisierten Menschheit steht auf dem Spiel.



Ich kann mich keiner Zeit in unserem Land erinnern, in der gleichzeitig so vieles schief ging wie im Moment. Unsere Wirtschaft ist in einem schrecklichen Zustand und der Trend geht weiter abwärts, Benzinpreise und Stromkosten schiessen dramatisch in die Höhe, Arbeitsplätze verschwinden, Mortgages can not be operated and banks, car manufacturers and other institutions to which we depend, are increasingly under pressure. Respected and experienced industry experts say that this is only the beginning, unless we have the courage to make significant changes, and quickly.

Above all, the climate crisis is worsening rapidly and much faster than anticipated. Scientists with access to data from Navy submarines that move below the Nordpoleisdecke have warned of a 75% chance that could disappear within the next 5 years the entire ice sheet in the summer months. This will increase the risk of melting Greenland continues. Scientists say that the Jacobshavngletscher, one of the largest in Greenland, is moving faster than ever and losing 20 million tons of ice per day, which corresponds to the annual water consumption of the people of New York.

experts warn in two major studies of military intelligence our government from dangerous consequences that could bring climate change to state security relations, including hundreds of thousands of climate refugees, which would bring States structure of the world out of balance.

Just two days ago warned 27 senior statesmen and retired military against a growing threat die nationale Sicherheit durch einen “Energie-Tsunami”, der ausgelöst würde, wenn der Zugang zu ausländischem Öl verloren ginge. In der Zwischenzeit wird der Krieg in Irak weitergeführt und der Krieg in Afghanistan scheint sich zu verschärfen.


Und übrigens, unser Wetter ist heutzutage recht eigenartig, finden Sie nicht auch? Es gibt mehr Tornados, längere Dürreperioden, schwerere Regenfälle und Rekordüberschwemmungen als seit Menschengedenken. Nie dagewesene Feuer brennen in Kalifornien und im Westen Amerikas. Höhere Temperaturen verursachen trockenere Vegetation, was wiederum die Entstehung von Riesenbränden nach sich zieht, solche wie wir sie in Kanada, Griechenland, have seen Russia, China, South America, Australia and Africa. Scientists at the Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Science at the University of Tel Aviv to inform us that increase per degree rise in temperature, lightning strikes by 10%. And there are even flashes that are largely responsible for the major fires in California. How many other people it seems to me that all these problems are bigger than the solutions that have been proposed, and that worries me.

I am convinced that one reason why we are seemingly paralyzed in the face of these crises is because we tend to old solutions to each crisis separately offer - without considering the others. All these outdated proposals have not only failed, but most of them the other crises even worse. But if we consider all three of these seemingly intractable challenges at the same time, we see the red thread that connects all three, most ironic in its simplicity: our dangerous dependence on coal-based fuels is at the core of all three crises: economic, environmental and national security.

We borrow money from China to buy oil from the Persian Gulf which we then burn and destroy the planet. All this must change. But if we take the thread and pull tuned will unravel all these complex issues and we think the answer is in your hands.

The answer: our dependence on carbon-based fuels to end.

In my search for genuinely effective measures to combat climate crisis, I have convened a number of "solutions summits" with engineers, scientists and business leaders. In these discussions, one thing abundantly clear: if one connects the dots, it will be obvious that the real solutions to climate crisis are the same measures we need to take to revive our economy and the clutches of the ever-rising energy prices to escape. Furthermore, they are the same measures that are necessary to guarantee our national security without making war with the countries of the Persian Gulf.

What if we have fuels that are not expensive, do not cause pollution and are still available to us right here at home are?

We have such fuels. Scientists have confirmed that enough solar energy every 40 minutes on the earth's surface is to power the earth for a year to 100% of energy. Only a fraction of that solar energy is needed to guarantee the total energy consumption in America.

And enough wind power blows every day by the "Midwest Corridor" that would extend also to ensure America's energy needs 100%. With geothermal energy, it is equally possible to cover a large portion of America's energy needs.

Electricity generation is the fastest, cheapest and best way to start using all this renewable energy. The fact is that we can begin immediately solar energy, wind energy and geothermal energy to use to generate electricity for our homes and businesses. But in order to achieve this important

potential and solve the problems of our nation, in fact, we have to start from scratch.

why schlage ich heute eine strategische Initiative vor, die so konzipiert ist, daß sie uns von den Krisen befreit, die uns unterdrücken und wir wieder Herr über unser eigenes Schicksal werden. Es ist nicht das Einzige, was wir tun müssen. Aber diese strategische Herausforderung ist Mittelpunkt einer kühnen neuen Strategie, um Amerika von neuem mit Energie zu versorgen.

Heute fordere ich unsere Nation dazu heraus, sich voll dafür einzusetzen, daß 100% unserer Elektrizität innerhalb von 10 Jahren aus erneuerbaren Energien und absolut kohlenstofffreien Quellen erzeugt werden. Dieses Ziel ist erreichbar, erschwinglich und bringt auf Dauer Veränderungen. Es ist eine Herausforderung an alle Amerikaner jeglicher Gesellschaftsschicht: to our politicians, entrepreneurs, inventors, engineers, and all citizens. ° ° °


Repower America with wind and solar



° ° °

A few years ago it was not possible this sort of challenge to be addressed. But something has changed: they have recently clearly significant cost reduction in solar, wind and geothermal energy in connection with the dramatic rise in oil and coal, is changing the economics of energy dramatically.

When I was 32 years ago for the first time in the U.S. Congress, I heard the Experts say that renewable energy would compete if oil would reach a price of $ 35 per barrel. Well, today is the price per barrel more than $ 135 And indeed, investments of billions flowing into the development of concentrated solar energy, photovoltaics, wind turbines, geothermal facilities, and a host of other inventive, new ways to improve our efficiency and conserve energy that was wasted in the past. fall

And with rising demand for renewable energy costs. Let me give you a revealing example: the price of specialized silicon, are produced by solar cells, was recently $ 300 per kilogram. But in the latest contract prices of $ 50 will be called a kilogram.

As you know, we have experienced the same thing with computer chips that are manufactured from silicone. The price for the same quality every 18 months decreased by 50% - and year after year, for 40 years.

Those who argue we do not yet have the technology to achieve these results with renewable energy, I ask me to go with the entrepreneurs that are driving this evolution. I've seen their work and have no doubt that we face this challenge.

Those who still say they were too expensive high: I ask you to consider whether the cost of oil and coal will ever stop increasing if we continue to rely on the rapid depletion of energy resources to meet the rapidly growing demand all over the world. When demand for oil and coal increases, prices rise. With increasing demand for solar cells, they are often cheaper.

If we transfer money to other countries by 70% of the oil to buy, we need every day, these countries build new skyscrapers and we lose jobs. If we used this money to build solar panels and wind turbines, we would create competitive industries and jobs here Hause gewinnen.

Natürlich gibt es solche, die das anzweifeln. Manche der Stimmen sind die, die den gegenwärtigen Stand der Dinge verteidigen - die, die davon profitieren, wenn das gegenwärtige System beibehalten würde, koste es was es wolle. Aber auch diejenigen, die die Profite des Kohlezeitalters einstreichen, müssen seinen unvermeidlichen Untergang erkennen. Wie ein OPEC Ölminister sagte: “ Die Steinzeit endete nicht, weil die Steine knapp wurden”.

Diejenigen, die meinen, daß 10 Jahre nicht genügen, bitte ich mit allem Respekt zu bedenken, was die Wissenschaftler der Welt uns über die Risiken sagen, wenn wir nicht innerhalb von 10 Jahren etwas unternehmen. Die führenden Experts predict that we have less than 10 years to pull off a dramatic change in the global pollution and global warming, so that we recover from this environmental crisis. If the consumption of oil and gas rises, increasing pollution. If the use of solar, wind and geothermal energy is growing, pollution is reduced.

To those who say that the challenge is not politically feasible, I guess, to come before the American people and to try to defend the state. Then you will be able to convince them of the desire of citizens for change.

I think not, for example, that our country still another 10 years the current state can cope with the things. Our families can not endure another 10 years, the rise in prices of fuel. Our workers can not sustain another 10 years of job losses and outsourcing. Our economy can not tolerate it for another 10 years that every 24 hours, $ 2 million dollars will be transferred to foreign countries to buy oil. And our soldiers and their families can not stand another 10 years, with new troop deployments in dangerous areas, where there happens to be large oil reserves.

What could we do instead in the next 10 years? What should we do? The largest Achievements of our nation resulted from the use of a goal that was superior to the next election: the Marshall Plan, Social Security, the Interstate highway network.
But a political promise to do something in 40 years, never respected because everyone knows that it means nothing. 10 years are about the limit in which we can retain as a nation, one goal in mind to reach the target.

When President John F. Kennedy urged our nation to return within ten years a man to the moon and back safely, many people have questioned whether we can achieve this goal. But eight years and two months later, Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin landed on the moon.

It's true - if we are within 10 years the goal of achieving 100% quality renewable and truly clean energy, it means that we must overcome many obstacles. At the moment, for example, we do not have a unified national network that is sufficiently developed to areas where the sun shines and the wind blows, connecting with cities in the west and east, have the power requirements. Our national electric grid is critical infrastructure so vital to a healthy economy and ensured as our highways and telecommunication networks. Today's networks are old, weak and inadequate geschützt gegen Betriebsausfall. Stromausfälle und Defekte im derzeitigen Netz kosten die amerikanischen Unternehmen mehr als $120 Millionen Dollar im Jahr. Es muß also sowieso verbessert werden.

Wir können außerdem den Wert und die Arbeitsleistung des “Unified National Grid” Systems steigern, indem wir unseren sich abrackernden Autoproduzenten helfen, umzusteigen auf die Anfertigung von elektrischen Autos. Ein Fuhrpark von elektrischen Fahrzeugen würde die Fahrtkosten deutlich senken, die Luftverschmutzung reduzieren und die Flexibilität des Elektrizitätsnetzes steigern. Gleichzeitig müssen wir uns natürlich mehr einsetzen für Effizienz und Naturschutz. Dies ist die beste Investition, die wir machen können.

Amerikas Übergang zu erneuerbaren Energiequellen muß auch entsprechende Maßnahmen einschließen, jenen Amerikanern zu helfen, die ungerechterweise leiden müßten. Zum Beispiel müssen wir an diejenigen denken, die unter gefährlichen Umständen gearbeitet haben, um unseren jetzigen Energiebedarf zu decken. Für jene Bergarbeiter, die in der Kohleförderung beschäftigt waren und jetzt durch die Auswirkungen auf die Kohleindustrie freigesetzt werden, sollten wir gute Arbeitsplätze in Sonne und frischer Luft garantieren. Und dieses für jeden einzelnen.

Natürlich könnten und sollten wir auch diese Veränderungen beschleunigen, indem wir darauf bestehen, that the costs of environmental damage caused by coal-based energy in the electricity tariff are included. I have long been a drastic reduction in payroll taxes, the difference would be offset by taxes on CO2 emissions again. We should tax what we burn, not what we deserve. This is the most important policy change, we could introduce.

order to promote international cooperation, it is also necessary that the United States rejoin the global community and strive to lead in Copenhagen in December next year an international agreement in the ways in which the upper limit of CO2 emission set is, and also a global partnership is intended to recognize the necessity that must be the fight against extreme poverty and disease part of the world comprehensive program to address the climate crisis. produce

The challenge in 10 years 100% renewable electricity is of course the greatest obstacle to the extreme dysfunction of our politics and our self-government system, as exists at the moment. In recent years, our tactics consisted of progressive proposals, smaller provisions that were designed so that they would not want to upset certain interest groups. Our democracy has become sclerotic at a time because these crises require courage.

It must be a truly dysfunctional system that takes the perverse logic that the short-term answer to high gas prices that we must promote in just 10 years more oil.

Am I the only one who finds it strange that our government too often finds a so-called solution to a problem that has nothing whatsoever to do with the problem? When people protest law against high gasoline prices, we propose to pay more money to the oil companies and expect that they will use this to reduce the oil prices. Nothing like that will happen, and everyone knows that if we are only on the same tactics draw who have never worked, and thereby responsible for the highest gasoline prices ever, with the highest profits of oil companies, then nobody should be surprised that we keep seeing the same results. But Congress seems to be still again in the same direction to move because some politicians are besieged by lobbyists with vested interests who know how to make the system work for you rather than for the citizens of America.

If you want to know the truth about gasoline prices, here it is: the exploding demand for oil, especially in regions such as China, exceeds the Anzahl neuer Vorkommen so sehr, daß die Ölpreise praktisch mit Sicherheit weiter steigen werden, egal was die Ölgesellschaften versprechen. Und Politiker können die Benzinpreise kurzfristig nicht senken. Allerdings gibt es eine außerordentlich wirkungsvolle Methode, die Kosten für Autofahren innerhalb weniger Jahre drastisch zu senken. Um Kraftstoffpreise zu senken, müssen wir unabhängig vom Öl werden und erneuerbare Energiequellen nutzen, wo wir dann für $1 eine Gallone Benzin kaufen können.

Viele Amerikaner fragen sich, ob wir einfach unseren Appetit auf mutige Lösungsstrategien verloren haben. Und solche, die behaupten zu wissen, wie unser heutiges politisches System funktioniert, meinen, we might as well give up hope, this political system would tackle anything risqué, especially if it is contrary to the wishes of special interests. And I must admit that it seems to work indeed so. But now I hear voices in this country of people who have tired of the small steps and the politics of special interests, not just long for a new, different and bold approach.

We are just about an election. We are in the development of an international climate agreement, a task is before the end of the first year of the term of the new president be terminated. It is a great mistake to assume the United States should wait for others to join them. In fact, we should act first, because only then will it be possible for others to join, and first to act in our national interest.

So I ask you to support me, and all, on whatever level, to address, in order to meet this challenge, that America will use in 10 years to 100 percent carbon free energy. It is time that we stop threshing empty phrases. We must act NOW.

This is an important moment for our generation. The moment in which we determine our own path and our collective future. I ask You - every one of you - join me to build this future. Participate in the "WE" action on wecansolveit.org. We need you. And we need you now. We are committed to replace not just light bulbs, but to change laws, and laws can be changed only by a different management style.

In July 1969 the United States were finally ready to accept President Kennedy's challenge, to land a man on the moon. I will never forget it, I was standing next to my father, a few miles away from the launch site, waiting for the giant Saturn 5 rocket, Apollo 11 would launch into the sky. I was 21 years old and had a month earlier, finished college - 3 weeks later I reported to the army.

These minutes I will never forget. The power and the vibration of the giant rocket shook my entire body. I watched as the rocket rose, slowly at first and then with great speed, the noise was deafening. We stretched our necks in order to track their way - until we looked straight into the sky. Then, 4 days later, I watched as millions of others, such as Neil Armstrong took one small step on the lunar surface and thus changed the history of mankind.

We need to encourage our nation, a to reach another new goal that will change the world history. Our entire civilization depends on that we embark on a new path of exploration and discovery. Our success depends on whether we are willing as men to go this way and end it in 10 years. Once again we have the opportunity to make a giant leap for mankind to make.

Al Gore
Washington DC
17th July 2008

text in English
http://greenenergyby2018.blogspot.com/

Holly Willoughby Pink Birthday Cake

Die Erlösung? Es kann noch weiter gehen ...

Was this now already signaled the beginning of recovery?
The extreme right price gains in some EW show that some market participants "and most of them now as if there were no tomorrow.


If you look, however, an evolution of SMI by 2001 - 2003 in one can see that an external event (terrorist attacks in 2001, collapse of "too big to fail" institutions, 2008) often marks the low point. It is very possible that the recovery from the lows for the first time following a tedious sideways market.

Saturday, July 5, 2008

Flatbed Laser Printer

SMI 5800: wir kommen oder auf Messer's Schneide...

On 1 March, I mentioned in long-term Outlook Down enormous potential. Meanwhile, the SMI dropped by about 10% and the target of approx. 5800 moved closer to half. Good things take time one is inclined to say. It is still not ready. On a very slender thread hangs the SMI. For the broken 6750 on a weekly basis, so it looks bleak, and it attracts an attractive short potential of a further 10%.

you may owe this mainly to the oberfozzigen Bänklern who have not only destroyed a lot of money of shareholders, but have been riding the global economy deep into the swamp. The former bank-hot whores have ended up deep in the gutter.

greetings economist

does what out of it, but maketh guet ...


Saturday, March 1, 2008

Erectile Dysfunction Caused By Mucinex D

Enormes Downpotential voraus

Terrified of the title? Maybe, but so far-fetched is not. I have the last two days made the effort and looked at many SMI in long-term chart. And since you can clearly see that they have increased since 2003, a rich behind. Technically striking is that the long-term indicators months had generated since the beginning of this year in many titles sell signals. to gloss over without, one must take note of that is down in the long-term outlook, the direction for several months. This well-established downward trend has occurred in February, an intermediate correction, which in this Tagen am auslaufen ist.

Vorläufig sind es mathematische Spielereien, aber approx. 5800 im SMI ist ein mögliches Korrekturziel aus Basis der Longterm-Indikatoren. Das heisst nun aber keinesfalls, dass es ab Montag in diese Richtung crasht. Vielmehr wird es in Zyklen erfolgen unterbrochen von positiven Zwischenkorrekturen, aber eben im übergeordeten Downtrend.

Lässt man die technische Seite einmal auf der Seite und schaut sich das fundamentale Umfeld an, so kann man die grau-schwarzen Wolken nicht negieren. Das gefährliche an der Sache ist, dass viele viel zu lange brauchen, bis sie merken, was abgeht. Die Problematik der Subprimekredite wurde schon im Jahre 2006 in der FuW angeschnitten aber es dauerte lange, bis die Waves splashed over.

I do not think the lower interest rates will correct the evil, because the problems (without going into specifically) are much deeper and are so interconnected that first there must be severe cutbacks. It all comes in cycles, and from now we'll have to accept that a negative cycle has begun.

How one wants to address personally, everyone must know yourself. One should not let the calm statements, however, lull, as these can be modified at regular intervals, and fell.

As a trader, it does not matter whether up or down. There is one way or another on both sides of lucrative opportunities for profit. Persönlich halte ich mich an die technischen Indikatoren. Wichtig scheint mir, sich nicht im Tagesgeschäft zu verlauern. Daher lohnt es sich, auch bei den Chart die längeren Zeitebenen anzusehen, denn die zeigen schon deutlich, wohin die Reise gehen wird...

Grüsse Oekonom

macht was draus, aber machets guet...

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Holly Willoughby Birthday Bou-cake

Mit den Adlern fliegen - nicht mit den Hühnern scharren...

Eine kurze Einschätzung zum SMI auf Sicht bis ca. Ende Februar:

Um in diesen Tagen den Ueberblick zu wahren, sollte man den Blick weiter schweifen lassen, als nur auf Stunden- und Tagesbasis. Auch wenn es nachrichtenbedingt manchmal gar turbulent zu und her geht, der Leitfaden an dem es sich zu orientieren gilt, ist die Charttechnik, mit dem Blick sowohl auf die Einzelwerte, wie auch den SMI als ganzes. Viele EW sind tief am Boden angelangt und haben bereits inditechnisch positiv eingedreht. Somit also genereller Zustand y+ .

Es läuft alles stets in Zyklen ab, ganz gleich ob der Mid- bzw- Long-Term Indikator negativ (short) ist. Somit gibt es innerhalb einer übergeordeten negativen Sequenz auch positive Subsequenzen.



Bereits einige Tage alt ist ein neuer (aber noch etwas unreifer) positiver Zyklus (Advancing) der m.E. ca. Ende Februar sein Top erreichen wird. Auf der Grafik wären wir nun bei ca. 1.3 (von 1 = Boden bis 5 = Top) angelangt. Das Bild gilt sowohl für viele EW wie auch für den SMI. Auch wenn der Zyklus positiv wird, heisst das nicht, dass aufgrund der Laufzeit von ca. 30 Tagen nicht auch schwächere Tage (Einbrüche) vorkommen dürfen. Wichtig ist die Standortbestimmung. Weil Zyklen immer ihre Zeit brauchen, lohnt es sich eben, die kurze Sicht, welche tradingmässig nur nervöse Handlungen hervorruft, auszublenden. Das heisst nun aber nicht, dass man neu aufbauende Longs einfach dem Schicksal überlässt (IRS, RM, MM gehört immer dazu), aber jeden Tag zweimal die Positionen zu schmeissen, bringt schon gar nichts.

Somit gilt: macht eure charttechnischen Hausaufgaben gut und dann aber auch konsequent durchziehen. At the current level can be more secure without the commitment well.

Fly with the eagles - not scratch with the chickens ...

My contribution is originally from the stock market Blog Forum

greetings economist

makes something out of it, but maketh guet ...

Sunday, January 20, 2008

Tiffany Anderson Blog

Banker: die "profitgierigen Drogendealer"

The 53rd East Street was in Cleveland used to be a good place, and now it is a slum. Of course, the people would have guessed this may make the loan offered by the banks were nothing but a poisoned bait. You could have guessed that the lending rate at any time in die Höhe schnellen konnten - und die Preise der Häuser rapide fallen. Aber das sei nicht der Punkt, sagt Clevelands Bürgermeister Frank Jackson. Entscheidend sei, dass Banker wie profitgierige Drogendealer agiert und die Kunden gezielt süchtig gemacht hätten, süchtig nach scheinbar billigem Geld.

"Das Geld war einfach zu gut, die Kredite mörderisch billig, und die Folgen ihres Handelns waren den Banken völlig egal", sagt Jackson. Im skrupellosen Mafiastil hätten die Banken Millionen von Kunden und deren Heimatstädte ins Unglück gestürzt, wettert der Bürgermeister. Dagegen will er nun angehen. Auf hunderte Millionen Dollar Schadenersatz hat die Stadt Cleveland insgesamt 21 Kreditinstitute verklagt - darunter auch die Deutsche Bank. Allein deren Tochter Deutsche Bank Trust soll laut Klageschrift für mehr als 7000 Zwangsversteigerungen im Bezirk Cleveland verantwortlich sein. Und wo Häuser zwangsversteigert werden, verebbt der Geldstrom in die kommunalen Kassen.

Eine Stadt wie Cleveland hängt am Tropf der Eigenheimsteuer. Die Immobiliensteuer sei das Lebenselixier für eine funktionierende Stadt, erklärt Finanzexperte Christopher Hoene von der US-Städtevereinigung immer wieder bei seinen Cleveland-Besuchen. "Alle Städte leben letztlich von der Eigenheimsteuer. Und deren Höhe hängt nun einmal vom Wert der Häuser ab", sagt er. Der Bankrott der Hausbesitzer bedeutet also langfristig den Bankrott einer ganzen City. "All the benefits of the city are then questioned," said Hoene.

A massive "public nuisance" raises Cleveland's Government, therefore, the banks in the application. Mayor Jackson is not sure how high the chances of success are a compensation for his battered city. But at least the attempt, he was the man was guilty, Jackson. "I see in the faces of people whose lives were ruined and their district by the banks for ever. And now these banks are held accountable," he promises. For many people in Cleveland is one at the moment only one thing: the number from the mouth of the compulsory sale ....

And what do you think? In Bern, the police will at a WEF-Demo persons are suspected of disturbing public order "as a precaution in prison before they harm and damage has been done.'s Good, but where the justice system remains among the leaders of the banks?

greetings Economist

makes something out of it, but maketh guet ...

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Party Funny Invitation

Zum Nachdenken

that I set very critical of the "business ethics" of the big banks, is known. Now the banks are indeed not a non- tangible entity, but there are people who distinguish themselves responsible. They alone determine the business objectives etc. I like to make the comparison between engineering, where solid values are created and the Bänkler who earns his money that he had a different skin, ultimately, over the ear, and it excludes. Or did you get from a bank ever something permanent for your money?

factor is that Bänkler present you as an elite that thinks, what are great for bugger them with their schooling. If we consider say the disaster wrought by global learned that "professionals" it must be said that any simple semi-skilled cleaning power is superior in a public lavatory that bank species in their work well wide.

It is time for the Grossbankengilde so zu klassifizieren, was sie effektiv ist, nämlich nichts anderes als erbärmliche Versager die man öffentlich an den Pranger stellen und entsprechend ächten muss. Denn das vernichtete Volksvermögen und der allgemein angerichtete Schaden ist extrem und trifft in irgendeiner Form jeden. Auch wenn Sie allein direkt nicht allzuviel dagegen unternehmen können, so verbleibt Ihnen immerhin die Konsequenz, allfällige noch bestehende Konti, Depots und sonstige Verbindungen (z.B. Hypotheken) von den grossen Instituten auf (überaus kundenfreundliche) kleinere Institute zu verlegen.

So und nun überlegen auch Sie mal...

Grüsse Oekonom

makes something out of it, but maketh guet ...